Yet, he can still win. Why? Because across the rust belt, the Michigan's, Ohio's, Pennsylvania's, too many people have been abandoned by the political parties. No one has listened to their cries for help, not the media,not Washington, not the states. So they embrace any candidate that proposes to throw a monkey wrench into the system. How else can you explain the immense popularity of Bernie Sanders? Sanders proposed massive change and change is needed---though perhaps not his kind of change. For decades Washington, whether Republicans or Democrats, has done little for the middle class except talk. The choice to fund the government on their backs was made, no matter what you hear to the contrary. When a man can make nearly half a billion and not pay taxes while a man who makes 50 grand a year pays 2 grand shows a rigged system. When a congressman goes into office with a modest wealth and leaves a rich person, it shows the system is rigged. So, there's a rebellion happening and it's not going to stop with one election.
So, yes, Trump can win. If he doesn't, it's because his narcissism won't allow him to keep his mouth shut---and that the voters would rather take a chance a miracle will happen and Hilary will actually address the middle class issues.(I'm not holding my breath on that, however.)
I don't think he'll win but he certainly can. Voters around the globe are disenchanted with what they see. I am.